Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Can Bullabulling Deal Aid Franco-Nevada's Portfolio Expansion?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Key Takeaways

  • Franco-Nevada boosts its Bullabulling stake to 3.90% through an A$170M royalty deal.
  • Bullabulling holds 4.4 Moz of Indicated and 1.7 Moz of Inferred Resources.
  • FNV expects the project to produce 150,000 ounces of gold annually for its first 10 years.

Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV - Free Report) has inked a deal with Minerals 260 Limited, the owner and developer of the Bullabulling project, to acquire an A$170-million ($122 million) gross royalty to fund the project’s development.

Adding to FNV’s existing 2.45% gross royalty, this move increases the company’s total project stake to 3.90%, along with securing an expanded area of interest and an enhanced royalty profile. Along with the royalty transaction, Franco-Nevada is committing an additional A$30 million ($22 million) as a lead order in a future equity raise.

The expanded royalty secures a large resource base, covering 8.5 km strike-length on the Bullabulling trend and 1 km strike-length at the Gibraltar deposit. Bullabulling is one of Australia’s largest near-term gold projects, located on existing mining leases. The project has a clear path to production from conventional open-pit mining and CIL processing. 

In July 2026, Minerals 260 completed a pre-feasibility study at the mine, reporting 4.4 Moz of Indicated Resources and 1.7 Moz of Inferred Resources. The study validates Franco-Nevada’s assessment of Bullabulling as a long-life mine, projecting an average annual gold production of 150,000 ounces over the first 10 years and a total mine life of 19 years. 

Minerals 260 expects to complete a definitive feasibility study and reach a final investment decision in early 2027, with first gold production targeted for the second half of 2028. The financing deal will aid Minerals 260 to expand the project’s resource base and bring it into production. The production from Bullabulling is likely to aid Franco-Nevada’s growth in the upcoming years.

Growth Drivers of Other Miners

B2Gold Corp. (BTG - Free Report) received the Menankoto exploitation permit from the State of Mali in August 2026, following productive dialogue that commenced in late July 2025. This allows pre-stripping to commence at Fekola Regional, a major near-term production growth driver for B2Gold consisting of the Menankoto exploitation permit and the Dandoko exploration permit. 

Post the permit, B2Gold expects Fekola Regional to ramp through the end of 2027 and produce more than 150,000 ounces annually from 2028 through the mid-2030s. 

SSR Mining Inc. (SSRM - Free Report) remains the third-largest U.S. gold producer, driven by the two high-quality, long-lived assets, Marigold in Nevada and CC&V in Colorado. SSR Mining is moving forward with growth initiatives across the Marigold mine, including Buffalo Valley. The company expects an updated life-of-mine plan by 2026-end. 

The company increased the mine’s 2026 growth capital guidance from $48 million to $65 million as it plans to boost longer-term growth. With over 38 years of operations, SSR Mining remains optimistic about Marigold's long-term growth. Along with SSRM’s other key projects like CC&V as well as Seabee and Puna, Marigold showcases significant potential upside.

FNV’s Price Performance, Valuations & Estimates

Franco-Nevada’s stock has gained 28.3% in a year compared to the Zacks Mining – Gold industry’s 37.4% growth. During this time, the Basic Materials sector has risen 22.2% and the S&P 500 has gained 16.5%. 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

FNV is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 31.71X, at a premium to the industry average of 13.50X. 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Franco-Nevada’s 2026 sales is $2.28 billion, indicating 25.2% year-over-year growth. The consensus mark for the year’s earnings is $7.54 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 35%. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2027 sales implies 2.6% year-over-year growth. The same for earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 13.4%.

EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been trending north over the past 60 days, as seen in the chart below.

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

FNV currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Published in